December 2007
10 posts
My brother, 14, has a blog :) →
Merry Christmas everyone! →
A thought-provoking post via Overcoming Bias.
Prediction markets go mainstream, step by step →
Yahoo launches US elections political dashboard, covering side-by-side poll results, search trends, current prediction market prices and money raised for each candidate. via techcrunch
Freakonomicsed! →
I’m just happy to report that our research was linked by NYT’s Freakonomics :) Now, this is a great motivation to work even harder…
With markets, “trial and error” works, because error gets killed...
– Arnold Kling
Prediction Markets as Decision Support Tool for... →
An older paper of mine, now published in the monthly Bulletin of the Hellenic Association of Mechanical and Electrical Engineers
Well, thank you Chris :) →
Prediction Markets are NOT efficient →
some early clues from a joint research effort with Panos Ipeirotis, more results and details to come soon